Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 277.470442 314.538427 356.100140 406.418157 466.040477 534.869750 620.972356
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 231.361852 281.694135 343.567482 426.346333 535.929731 678.556372 882.541125
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 199.785596 254.206243 325.079186 426.246439 570.537888 774.786143 1097.062466
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 173.542691 228.139574 302.383334 413.762082 582.214428 837.450633 1274.843376
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 153.998380 207.916466 283.897915 402.742071 591.758938 895.804393 1457.359709
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 144.575292 200.403479 281.920839 414.932170 637.768318 1019.623963 1784.942172
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 134.291590 190.269238 274.473390 416.904479 666.520426 1118.952880 2096.089487
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 123.384557 177.975738 262.131687 408.822487 675.916291 1184.100179 2357.060247
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 115.840486 170.072662 255.733217 409.619983 700.940806 1283.864284 2728.152979
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 107.384385 159.934966 244.603083 400.540278 705.512326 1342.490594 3021.487214
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 101.202803 152.920326 237.936285 398.547911 723.425390 1433.296675 3433.637123
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 92.968482 141.890681 223.443314 380.287702 705.221808 1438.663872 3609.597605
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 90.968786 141.269268 227.186932 397.701311 766.332783 1648.894815 4511.828462
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 89.480763 141.398393 232.285290 418.548478 839.450912 1912.259627 5762.339777
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 85.212724 136.321212 227.368682 418.316766 863.954973 2053.969595 6670.252169
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 79.809317 128.841894 217.329537 406.135263 857.637763 2107.142199 7260.430545
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 75.062695 122.230848 208.412473 395.368812 853.133386 2165.205677 7920.540133
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 73.364869 121.038038 209.792957 407.277223 908.832901 2428.104081 9794.043144
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 70.669412 117.808454 206.893825 409.203729 938.570827 2617.445503 11490.062431
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 67.147807 112.807525 200.069310 401.309032 939.953939 2709.907488 12727.516164
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 64.765933 109.816764 197.078783 402.088089 966.191481 2902.848557 14863.592163
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 61.619791 105.177836 190.367883 393.217772 962.762711 2982.682958 16317.044050
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 59.335000 102.078783 186.643656 391.271189 979.981154 3152.551772 18749.169806